Bitcoin's recent 7.5% pullback from its $123,250 all-time high may be forming what technical analysts describe as a "perfect bottom" before the next major upward move. The cryptocurrency has found strong support at its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), a level that previously triggered significant rebounds.
The current price action mirrors June's market behavior when BTC bounced sharply after testing the 50-day EMA, resulting in a 25% surge. Analyst BitBull suggests even a deeper dip to $110,000-112,000 would maintain the bullish structure, potentially setting the stage for substantial gains.
【Key Pattern Emerges】The price consolidation aligns with an inverted head-and-shoulders formation, a classic technical setup that typically precedes major breakouts. The successful retest of this pattern's neckline suggests Bitcoin could be preparing for its next leg up, with a measured move target near $148,000.
On-chain data reveals Bitcoin's current correction follows the third major profit-taking wave of this cycle. CryptoQuant analysts note similar whale sell-offs occurred after previous milestones:
——March 2024 ETF launch
——Post-election $100K breakthrough
——Recent $120K all-time high
Historically, these consolidation periods lasted 2-4 months before new price discovery phases began. The current pullback appears to fit this established pattern, with one notable difference—the latest whale sell-off involved an unprecedented 80,000 BTC transaction worth approximately $9.6 billion.
Market observers point to October as a potential timeframe for Bitcoin's next major move. Several technical and cyclical factors converge to support the $150,000 price target:
• Completion of the current IH&S pattern
• Historical post-consolidation performance
• Reduced selling pressure from major holders
As the market digests recent volatility, traders are watching for confirmation of renewed accumulation. The coming weeks could determine whether Bitcoin establishes the foundation for its next parabolic advance or requires additional time to consolidate recent gains.